Introducing: Lighthouse Macro Crypto

(And a New Educational Series)

Lighthouse Macro Crypto

We’ve been invited to join Botsfolio as a Pro Portfolio Creator. This is our public-facing Lighthouse Macro Crypto Portfolio. Link: Sign up with this link for 20% discount! (Or apply coupon code=bobe8f)

Why We’re Doing This

Some of you run crypto-only mandates. Crypto represents roughly 10-20% of our broader allocation thinking, but this portfolio gives you a live, trackable implementation of our framework explicitly applied to crypto markets, with a published track record you can follow in real time.

The Approach

Same Lighthouse Macro framework, non-traditional asset class.

We synthesize across three engines: Macro Dynamics (growth, inflation, consumer, labor), Monetary Mechanics (RRP, reserves, repo stress, dealer constraints), and Market Technicals (both top-down structure and security-specific signals). Edge comes from multi-domain synthesis: tracking macro conditions against credit stress, Treasury internals alongside stablecoin flows, funding dislocations across traditional and crypto plumbing.

The framework identifies the regime. On-chain fundamentals, microstructure, and price signals drive coin selection and timing. Position sizing scales with regime confidence and technical confirmation. Larger when everything aligns, defensive when signals diverge.

• Tactical horizon is 3-6 months per trade when framework & technicals align.

• Current Positioning: 100% USDT. That’s not a placeholder. It’s the position.

We’re in research and conviction formation mode, testing crypto data vendors for on-chain and fundamental coverage, and waiting for framework confirmation before deployment. Cash is an active allocation. We deploy when the setup meets our criteria, not before.

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New: Educational Series Coming

We’ve realized something. As it is today, our research shows you what we’re seeing, but we haven’t fully explained how we see it. That changes now. Starting soon, we’ll publish 2-3 free posts per week that walk through the Macro, Monetary, and Market pillars that make up our framework. What we look at. Why we care about it. How the pieces fit together.

This won’t give away proprietary indicators or weightings, but it will give you a clear understanding of our process and the inputs that drive our views. For crypto specifically, we’ll cover how we score opportunities across technical structure, protocol fundamentals, and market microstructure (funding rates, liquidation asymmetry, exchange flows) before deploying capital.

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Follow the Crypto Portfolio

To copy-trade or track positioning:

The Bigger Picture: Transparency

We want to provide real value to our readers. That means:

1. Education: A new series explaining our framework

2. Live performance tracking: Starting with crypto on Botsfolio, with plans to find a similar platform covering equities, rates, credit, currencies, and commodities (or ideally one platform that covers everything, including crypto).

The goal is simple: you should be able to understand how we think and see how we perform in real time.

We’re no strangers to defending our calls. We did it monthly for years with investors, risk team, and compliance, and quarterly to the entire firm. It’s been publicly displayed on my LinkedIn for the better part of a decade. But this game is all about “what have you done for me lately,” and we’ve never traded crypto as part of a published strategy. So we’re starting fresh, with full transparency, and building the track record in public.

We’ll share updates here as the portfolio evolves.

Bob Sheehan, CFA, CMT

Founder & Chief Investment Officer

Lighthouse Macro | Follow @LHMacro on X/Twitter

MACRO, ILLUMINATED.